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Prediction markets
18 active markets
· category “Business”
How it works
How to trade
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
72%
1 (25 bps)
14%
11 more
$32.2M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
75 trading now
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
70-80B
85%
80-90B
4%
8 more
$195K
Vol.
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
48 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.46M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
84%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.28M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
50 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
32%
475k+
22%
7 more
$63K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$77
45 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$74K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
57 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
22%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.87M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$114
62 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
58%
OpenAI
35%
12 more
$31K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
40 trading now
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
CME
99%
LedgerX
99%
7 more
$117K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
BMO
9%
KeyBank
8%
17 more
$24K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$267
47 trading now
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$53K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
54 trading now
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
99%
Workhorse
54%
13 more
$194K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
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